Difference between revisions of "2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine"

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|wikipedia=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
 
|wikipedia=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
 
|wikipedia_protection = 1
 
|wikipedia_protection = 1
|image=File:A0659ccf691671adce459fc4c6816bf6.jpg
+
|image=A0659ccf691671adce459fc4c6816bf6.jpg
|constitutes=Bombing, Invasion, War, Cold War 2.0
+
|constitutes=Bombing, Invasion, War, Cold War 2.0, genocide?
 
|locations=Donbass, Kyiv, Ukraine, Moscow, Russia, Europe, Black Sea
 
|locations=Donbass, Kyiv, Ukraine, Moscow, Russia, Europe, Black Sea
 
|start=24 February 2022
 
|start=24 February 2022
 
|end=
 
|end=
|ON_constitutes=Imperialism, War
+
|ON_constitutes=Imperialism
 
|participants=Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, DPR, LPR
 
|participants=Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, DPR, LPR
 
|sponsors=NATO, US, China, Iran
 
|sponsors=NATO, US, China, Iran
 
|predecessors=Russia/Encirclement, Cold War 2.0, Institute for Statecraft/Activities
 
|predecessors=Russia/Encirclement, Cold War 2.0, Institute for Statecraft/Activities
 
|successors=
 
|successors=
|planners=Vladimir Putin, CIA, NATO?
+
|planners=Vladimir Putin, Ukraine, CIA, NATO?
 
|Sponsors=NATO, CIA, FSB, China
 
|Sponsors=NATO, CIA, FSB, China
 
|filmed by=[[CNN]], [[Patrick Lancaster]]
 
|filmed by=[[CNN]], [[Patrick Lancaster]]
Line 20: Line 20:
 
|description=In a new episode of [[Cold War 2.0]] [[Russia]] forcefully halted [[NATO]] expansion by invading [[Ukraine]], with financial support of [[China]]. Although the [[EU]] and [[US]] denounced the "[[war crimes]]" as multiple cities were bombed, several countries opted less severe sanctions to keep importing diamonds and luxury goods and gas (and their loaned money) from Russia, seemingly creating a new iron curtain in Eastern Europe.
 
|description=In a new episode of [[Cold War 2.0]] [[Russia]] forcefully halted [[NATO]] expansion by invading [[Ukraine]], with financial support of [[China]]. Although the [[EU]] and [[US]] denounced the "[[war crimes]]" as multiple cities were bombed, several countries opted less severe sanctions to keep importing diamonds and luxury goods and gas (and their loaned money) from Russia, seemingly creating a new iron curtain in Eastern Europe.
 
|spartacus=
 
|spartacus=
|interests=Encirclement of Russia, NATO/Propaganda, War in Donbass, US/Exceptionalism, Russophobia, US/Exceptionalism
+
|interests=Encirclement of Russia, NATO/Propaganda, War in Donbass, US/Exceptionalism, Russophobia, Russian Propaganda
 
}}
 
}}
The '''2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine''' began on 24 February 2022 when [[Russia]] launched a large-scale military operation against its south-west neighbour [[Ukraine]] involving forces from western [[Russia]], [[Belarus]] and [[Crimea]],<ref>https://www.rt.com/russia/550529-ukraine-war-eight-years-zakharova/</ref> a severe escalation of the Russo-Ukrainian War that started in [[2014]] with the [[2014 Ukraine coup]].<ref>''[https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/04/11/pers-a11.html "US-NATO arming Ukraine for military offensive against Russia signals a massive and dangerous escalation"]''</ref>
+
The '''2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine''' began on 24 February 2022 when [[Russia]] launched a large-scale "Special Military Operation" against its south-west neighbour [[Ukraine]] involving forces from western [[Russia]], [[Belarus]] and [[Crimea]],<ref>https://www.rt.com/russia/550529-ukraine-war-eight-years-zakharova/</ref> a severe escalation of the Russo-Ukrainian War that started in [[2014]] with the CIA/NATO-sponsored [[2014 Ukraine coup]].<ref>''[https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/04/11/pers-a11.html "US-NATO arming Ukraine for military offensive against Russia signals a massive and dangerous escalation"]''</ref>
  
 
Russian president [[Vladimir Putin]] escalated talks with ultimatums to prevent [[Ukraine]] from joining [[NATO]] in [[2021]], but invaded when [[Russia]]'s demands were not met.<ref>https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/17/russia-issues-list-demands-tensions-europe-ukraine-nato</ref><ref>[https://www.bitchute.com/video/_NLi8Hkyr2E/ General Sir Richard Shirreff exclusively tells GB News he is ‘worried’ about Russia's Ukraine stance.]</ref> There is, however, a certain probability that this move was also necessary to preempt a military offensive by the Ukrainian forces against the [[Donbass]] region.<ref>The Russian MOD released [http://archive.today/2022.03.09-114545/https://twitter.com/mfa_russia/status/1501461950735257602 documents on Twitter] which they said prove the point (of a planned Ukrainian invasion). The "[[fact checker]]" [[PolitiFact]] ([https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2022/mar/14/tweets/no-document-doesnt-show-secret-ukrainian-military-/ link]), drawing on information provided by [[StopFake]] ([https://www.stopfake.org/ru/fejk-sekretnyj-prikaz-komanduyushhego-natsionalnoj-gvardiej-ukrainy-predusmatrival-nastuplenii-na-donbass-v-marte-2022-goda/ link]) said that that these documents speak about something completely different. English speaking writers on [[The Saker]] pointed out that: "it is highly unlikely that the Russian army would publish a fake that can be easily refuted. Besides, Kiev’s plans are indirectly confirmed by many people." the same author also notes: "Russian troops easily broke through the Ukrainian defenses elsewhere, reaching the suburbs of the Ukrainian capital and encircling the country’s second largest city, Kharkov. The question arises why the Ukrainians concentrated a powerful force near the Donbass republics instead of immediately blocking all dangerous directions in order to force the Russians into fighting exhausting battles along the border?" ([https://thesaker.is/the-gru-has-exposed-dangerous-ukrainian-plans/ link]). Other commentators on [[The Saker]] pointed out, that: "Claims of [Ukrainian] “invasion” have been circulating on and off for the past 8 years [in the Donbass region], and started sounding louder in April of 2021" ([https://thesaker.is/virtual-ukrainian-invasion-virtually-imminent/ link])</ref><ref>[[Inessa S]] (Feb 19, 2018): [https://web.archive.org/web/20201020180252/https://fort-russ.com/2017/04/burn-crimea-and-donbass-to-ground/ Ukrainian Colonel - “Burn Crimea and Donbass to the ground”] saved at [https://archive.ph/eRqPF Archive.is]</ref><ref>https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Intel_Slava_-_assessment_of_the_Donbass_situation_end_2021</ref><ref>[[Gonzalo Lira]] - [https://youtu.be/TzR---YDDIQ Victoria Nuland, 27 March 2022] ~01:39:00</ref> In addition, on 18th February, Ukrainian forces increased their shelling of the separatist regions significantly; with more than a thousand, possibly several thousand shells fired on areas inhabited by civilians that live in the region.<ref>http://archive.today/2022.04.06-021922/https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/1-russia-voices-alarm-over-131800654.html?guccounter=1</ref><ref>https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/02/18/ukra-f18.html saved at [https://web.archive.org/web/20220218052232/https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/02/18/ukra-f18.html Archive.org]</ref><ref>https://www.donbass-insider.com/2022/02/18/donbass-ukraine-heavily-shelling-dpr-and-lpr-injuring-one-civilian-and-damaging-several-homes/ saved at [https://web.archive.org/web/20220218162137/https://www.donbass-insider.com/2022/02/18/donbass-ukraine-heavily-shelling-dpr-and-lpr-injuring-one-civilian-and-damaging-several-homes/ Archive.org]</ref><ref>https://southfront.org/ukrainian-army-continues-massive-shelling-of-donetsk-and-luhansk/</ref>
 
Russian president [[Vladimir Putin]] escalated talks with ultimatums to prevent [[Ukraine]] from joining [[NATO]] in [[2021]], but invaded when [[Russia]]'s demands were not met.<ref>https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/17/russia-issues-list-demands-tensions-europe-ukraine-nato</ref><ref>[https://www.bitchute.com/video/_NLi8Hkyr2E/ General Sir Richard Shirreff exclusively tells GB News he is ‘worried’ about Russia's Ukraine stance.]</ref> There is, however, a certain probability that this move was also necessary to preempt a military offensive by the Ukrainian forces against the [[Donbass]] region.<ref>The Russian MOD released [http://archive.today/2022.03.09-114545/https://twitter.com/mfa_russia/status/1501461950735257602 documents on Twitter] which they said prove the point (of a planned Ukrainian invasion). The "[[fact checker]]" [[PolitiFact]] ([https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2022/mar/14/tweets/no-document-doesnt-show-secret-ukrainian-military-/ link]), drawing on information provided by [[StopFake]] ([https://www.stopfake.org/ru/fejk-sekretnyj-prikaz-komanduyushhego-natsionalnoj-gvardiej-ukrainy-predusmatrival-nastuplenii-na-donbass-v-marte-2022-goda/ link]) said that that these documents speak about something completely different. English speaking writers on [[The Saker]] pointed out that: "it is highly unlikely that the Russian army would publish a fake that can be easily refuted. Besides, Kiev’s plans are indirectly confirmed by many people." the same author also notes: "Russian troops easily broke through the Ukrainian defenses elsewhere, reaching the suburbs of the Ukrainian capital and encircling the country’s second largest city, Kharkov. The question arises why the Ukrainians concentrated a powerful force near the Donbass republics instead of immediately blocking all dangerous directions in order to force the Russians into fighting exhausting battles along the border?" ([https://thesaker.is/the-gru-has-exposed-dangerous-ukrainian-plans/ link]). Other commentators on [[The Saker]] pointed out, that: "Claims of [Ukrainian] “invasion” have been circulating on and off for the past 8 years [in the Donbass region], and started sounding louder in April of 2021" ([https://thesaker.is/virtual-ukrainian-invasion-virtually-imminent/ link])</ref><ref>[[Inessa S]] (Feb 19, 2018): [https://web.archive.org/web/20201020180252/https://fort-russ.com/2017/04/burn-crimea-and-donbass-to-ground/ Ukrainian Colonel - “Burn Crimea and Donbass to the ground”] saved at [https://archive.ph/eRqPF Archive.is]</ref><ref>https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Intel_Slava_-_assessment_of_the_Donbass_situation_end_2021</ref><ref>[[Gonzalo Lira]] - [https://youtu.be/TzR---YDDIQ Victoria Nuland, 27 March 2022] ~01:39:00</ref> In addition, on 18th February, Ukrainian forces increased their shelling of the separatist regions significantly; with more than a thousand, possibly several thousand shells fired on areas inhabited by civilians that live in the region.<ref>http://archive.today/2022.04.06-021922/https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/1-russia-voices-alarm-over-131800654.html?guccounter=1</ref><ref>https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/02/18/ukra-f18.html saved at [https://web.archive.org/web/20220218052232/https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/02/18/ukra-f18.html Archive.org]</ref><ref>https://www.donbass-insider.com/2022/02/18/donbass-ukraine-heavily-shelling-dpr-and-lpr-injuring-one-civilian-and-damaging-several-homes/ saved at [https://web.archive.org/web/20220218162137/https://www.donbass-insider.com/2022/02/18/donbass-ukraine-heavily-shelling-dpr-and-lpr-injuring-one-civilian-and-damaging-several-homes/ Archive.org]</ref><ref>https://southfront.org/ukrainian-army-continues-massive-shelling-of-donetsk-and-luhansk/</ref>
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Five years later, [[Russia]] was one of the signatories of the [https://www.osce.org/mc/17502 Charter for European Security,] where it "reaffirmed the inherent right of each and every participating State to be free to choose or change its security arrangements, including treaties of alliance, as they evolve.}}
 
Five years later, [[Russia]] was one of the signatories of the [https://www.osce.org/mc/17502 Charter for European Security,] where it "reaffirmed the inherent right of each and every participating State to be free to choose or change its security arrangements, including treaties of alliance, as they evolve.}}
  
===Concerns===
+
==Concerns==
Firstly, the attack came at a time when the [[COVID-19]] fear narrative was falling apart rather spectacularly. The "Omicron" variant understood to have a very low [[IFR]], and official statistics were showing that the [[COVID jabs]] increased risk of omicron infection. For this reason a change of topic was opportune.  
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Some feel that Ukraine war (as a crisis) did replace the [[COVID-19/Pandemic|COVID-19 pandemic]];<ref>https://www.swissinfo.ch/ger/kmu-sorgenbarometer-ukraine-krieg-loest-pandemie-ab/47495446</ref> the attack came at a time when the [[COVID-19/Panic|COVID-19 fear narrative]] was falling apart rather spectacularly. The "Omicron" variant understood to have a very low [[IFR]], and official statistics were showing that the [[COVID jabs]] increased risk of omicron infection. For this reason a change of topic was opportune.
  
===War Preparation===
+
===Legacy===
{{FA|Cold War 2.0}}
+
{{FA|2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Legacy}}
In [[2008]], Russian president [[Vladimir Putin]] spoke out against [[Ukraine]]'s potential accession to [[NATO]].<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Post-Soviet_context</ref>
+
Many outcomes and consequences must have been war-gamed before the escalation. The [[civil war in Ukraine]], which is also a US/Nato/Russia [[proxy war]], was a lingering conflict since [[2014]] and was meant to be dialed up at some point, so the results may not all be totally unintended. That Putin will act and send the army when a Russian population comes under intense heavy weapons fire was absolutely clear to everybody since the [[2008]] conflict with [[Georgia]].<ref>[[Mikhail Gorbachev]], 12 August 2008 - "What happened on the night of Aug. 7 is beyond comprehension. The Georgian military attacked the South Ossetian capital of Tskhinvali with multiple rocket launchers designed to devastate large areas. Russia had to respond. To accuse it of aggression against "small, defenseless Georgia" is not just hypocritical but shows a lack of humanity." --  https://web.archive.org/web/20150904004353/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/11/AR2008081101372.html</ref>
  
Following weeks of protests as part of the [https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR Euromaidan] movement (2013–2014), pro-Russian Ukrainian president [[Viktor Yanukovych]] and the leaders of the [[Ukrainian]] parliamentary opposition on 21 February 2014 signed a settlement agreement that called for an early election. The following day,  
+
{{SMWQ
[[Viktor Yanukovych|Yanukovych]] fled from [[Kyiv]] ahead of an impeachment vote that stripped him of his powers as president. Leaders of the [[Russian]]-speaking eastern regions of [[Ukraine]] declared continuing loyalty to [[Viktor Yanukovych|Yanukovych]], causing the 2014 pro-Russian unrest in [[Ukraine]]. The unrest was followed by the annexation of [[Crimea]] by [[Russia]] in March 2014 and the [[War in Donbass]], which started in April [[2014]] with the creation of the Russia-backed quasi-states of the [[Donetsk People's Republic|Donetsk]] and [[Luhansk People's Republic]]s.
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|text=[...] as I have stated since the outbreak of the war, in my opinion, the Ukraine war is a U.S. proxy war not against Russia, but against Europe. It is the launchpad for a continent-wide destabilisation project that will create conflict zone conditions across Europe. It will divide the EU against itself, it will de-industrialize the continent and turn it into another laboratory for the imposition of severe, neoliberal austerity policies that will wipe out all, except the largest private sector players and basically re-feudalise Europe.
 +
|authors=Shahid Bolsen
 +
|date=April 5, 2023
 +
|subjects=COVID-19/Purposes
 +
|source_name=Middle Nation - Poland is Honduras
 +
|source_URL=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTlETCGIKDI
 +
}}
  
Back in [[2014]] Russia had contingency plans to do a full, or part scale invasion of Ukraine at the beginning the [[2014 Ukraine coup/Civil war|civil war]], since it mobilised a sufficient number of troops and put specialised forces for the pacification of populations on notice (for possible deployment) - according to a [[RUSI]] analysis from April 2014.<ref>https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/rusi-briefing-examines-possible-russian-military-strategies-against-ukraine</ref><ref>https://static.rusi.org/ukranian-military-dispositions-rusibriefing-2014.pdf</ref>
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==War Preparation==
 +
{{FAs|2014 Ukraine coup|Cold War 2.0}}
 +
{{FA|Encirclement of Russia}}
  
An American advisor to the Ukrainian military remarked that: "Since the latter end of 2018, [...] the West seems to be paying more attention to the Ukrainian conflict."<ref>https://sofrep.com/news/israeli-special-forces-to-teach-ukrainian-special-forces-how-to-combat-russia/ saved at [https://web.archive.org/web/20200215024257/https://sofrep.com/news/israeli-special-forces-to-teach-ukrainian-special-forces-how-to-combat-russia/ Archive.org] saved at [https://archive.is/D2cDk Archive.is]</ref>
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Since the end of the [[Cold War]]<ref>https://www.dw.com/en/nato-why-russia-has-a-problem-with-its-eastward-expansion/a-60891681</ref> [[NATO]] is getting closer to Russia.
 +
Multiple sides prepared for this war, including a [[propaganda]] war by the [[Ifs]], a [[UK]] and [[EU]] [[Deep state faction]], the Ukrainian regime installed after the [[Euromaidan]] and Russia's leadership.
 +
[[Russia]] has said that a possible [[Ukrainian]] accession to [[NATO]] and the [[NATO]] enlargement in general threaten its [[national security]]. In turn, [[Ukraine]] and other [[European]] countries neighboring [[Russia]] have accused [[Putin]] of attempting Russian irredentism and of pursuing aggressive militaristic policies."<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Ukrainian_revolution_and_war</ref>
 +
A Dutch investigation by [[journalist]] [[Tim Hofman]] revealed the [[European]] [[internet]] providers actually decided ''within one day'' to make telephones calls - to Ukraine from the [[EU]] - free of charge. The same European Telecom providers refused the same procedures for at least 8 months into the [[2023 Israel-Hamas]] conflict. Upon investigation by the same journalist, at least one Dutch telecom provider lied on camera that a "middle-man actually requested the 26 EU countries" to immediately order telecom companies within one day after the Russian invasion. After verifying this procedure with multiple Dutch Ministerial Departments, this [[handler]] was denied to have ever existed, playing questions as to who or whom is [[deep lobbying]] to deny [[Palestinians]] cheaper telecommunication systems, but grant them to [[Ukrainians]] at instant.<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cr5-AIC_N5w</ref>
  
 
{{YouTubeVideo
 
{{YouTubeVideo
 
|code=W57I2mzAr9c
 
|code=W57I2mzAr9c
|align=right
+
|align=left
 
|width=
 
|width=
 
|caption=Putin's speech on 21 February 2022, reiterating many points of his July 2021 article about the "Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians",<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20210713133522mp_/http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/copy/66181 [https://web.archive.org/web/20210712185321mp_/http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/copy/66181 in Russian]</ref> which was made required reading in the Russian army.<ref>http://archive.today/2022.02.25-024559/https://www.rbc.ru/politics/15/07/2021/60f0475d9a7947b61f09f4be</ref><br> ''Sky News''.
 
|caption=Putin's speech on 21 February 2022, reiterating many points of his July 2021 article about the "Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians",<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20210713133522mp_/http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/copy/66181 [https://web.archive.org/web/20210712185321mp_/http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/copy/66181 in Russian]</ref> which was made required reading in the Russian army.<ref>http://archive.today/2022.02.25-024559/https://www.rbc.ru/politics/15/07/2021/60f0475d9a7947b61f09f4be</ref><br> ''Sky News''.
 
}}
 
}}
[[Russia]] has said that a possible [[Ukrainian]] accession to [[NATO]] and the [[NATO]] enlargement in general threaten its [[national security]]. In turn, [[Ukraine]] and other [[European]] countries neighboring [[Russia]] have accused [[Putin]] of attempting Russian irredentism and of pursuing aggressive militaristic policies."<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Ukrainian_revolution_and_war</ref>
 
 
===Encirclement of Russia===
 
[[image:Screenshot 2022-02-25 at 04-12-45 Human Rights Watch Watcher ( queeralamode) Twitter.png|left|300px|thumb|Interestingly enough, [[CCM]] media outlet ''[[The Economist]]'' painted [[Putin]] in a much different light than former President [[George W. Bush]], who invaded a country which was never linked to the [[casus belli]] ([[9-11]]), possibly hinting [[NATO]] may still set foot on [[Ukrainian]] soil.]]
 
{{FA|Encirclement of Russia}}
 
Since the end of the [[Cold War]] <ref>https://www.dw.com/en/nato-why-russia-has-a-problem-with-its-eastward-expansion/a-60891681</ref> [[NATO]] is getting closer to Russia known as the [[encirclement of Russia]]. After increased [[militarisation]] and so called [[colour revolutions]] (backed by the [[establishment]] in [[NATO]] [[countries]]) in [[Eastern Europe]], Russia was faced with a hostile regime in Kyiv, seeking NATO membership and military aid from NATO.
 
Ukraine fell apart and three regions ([[Crimea]] and the [[Donbass]]) declared independance. One of those ([[Crimea]]) hosts a major Russian [[military base]] and port to the [[Black Sea]] at [[Sevastopol]]. Although 30% of the population speak Russian there, the use of the language was outlawed<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20210214235416/https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2145-19/page</ref> by the Ukrainian government in Kyiv, which was at this time described as a US [[puppet regime]]. [[Kyiv]]'s use of the [[Azov Battalion]] was deemed highly controversial but a [[third rail topic]] in western corporate media, calling the claims of Putin that he was fighting [[Nazis]] ludicrous. <ref><https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Azov_Battalion</ref>
 
This was seen as humiliation by Russia and [[Putin]] called for an "end to the Russian [[Genocide]]<ref>https://tass.com/politics/1411067?utm_source=google.com&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=google.com&utm_referrer=google.com</ref> in the [[Donbass]]", part of Russian [[propaganda]] to legitimize the invasion.
 
 
In 2022, western media revealed the [[CIA]] had increased a secret U.S.-based training initiative for Ukrainian special operations forces and other intelligence personnel. That offensive division of the program, started somewhere around in 2015, also included instruction in firearms, camouflage techniques and covert communications.<ref>https://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-secret-cia-training-program-in-ukraine-helped-kyiv-prepare-for-russian-invasion-090052743.html</ref>
 
 
==Military Scenarios==
 
===United States===
 
[[image:220113 Jones UkraineRussia Map1 0.png|left|450px|thumb|"Figure 2a]]
 
[[image:220113 Jones UkraineRussia 2b.png|left|450px|thumb|"Figure 2b"]]
 
[[image:220113 Jones UkraineRussia Map3.png|left|450px|thumb|"Figure 2c"]]
 
 
The [[Washington D.C]]-based [[Center for Strategic and International Studies]] released a strategic paper on the 13th of January previewing the invasion.<ref>https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-possible-invasion-ukraine</ref>
 
The paper argued the US military to openly supply Ukraine with a "Twenty-First Century Lend-Lease Act" to provide Ukraine with war materiel at no cost and the [[CIA]] to plan and execute [[covert operations]] (ironically called "special operations" in the paper) while letting the Ukrainians stall for time.
 
 
{{SMWQ
 
|align=right
 
|text=The Kremlin has at least six possible military options:
 
1. Redeploy some of its ground forces away from the Ukrainian border—at least temporarily—if negotiations are successful but continue to aid pro-Russian rebels in Eastern Ukraine.
 
 
2. Send conventional Russian troops into the breakaway regions of Donetsk and Luhansk as unilateral “peacekeepers” and refuse to withdraw them until peace talks end successfully and Kiev agrees to implement the Minsk Accords.
 
 
3. Seize Ukrainian territory as far west as the Dnepr River to use as a bargaining chip or incorporate this new territory fully into the Russian Federation. This option is represented in Figure 2a.
 
 
4. Seize Ukrainian territory up to the Dnepr River and seize an additional belt of land (to include Odessa) that connects Russian territory with the breakaway Transdniestria Republic and separates Ukraine from any access to the Black Sea. The Kremlin would incorporate these new lands into Russia and ensure that the rump Ukrainian statelet remains economically unviable.
 
 
5. Seize only a belt of land between Russia and Transdniestria (including Mariupol, Kherson, and Odessa) to secure freshwater supplies for Crimea and block Ukraine’s access to the sea, while avoiding major combat over [[Kiev]] and Kharkiv. This option is represented in Figure 2b.
 
 
6. Seize all of Ukraine and, with Belarus, announce the formation of a new tripartite Slavic union of Great, Little, and White Russians (Russians, Ukrainians, and Belarusians). This option would involve operations represented in Figure 2a as “phase one,” with Figure 2c representing “phase two” of this option.
 
|subjects=Center for Strategic and International Studies
 
|source_name=Center for Strategic and International Studies
 
|source_URL=https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-possible-invasion-ukraine
 
|authors=Center for Strategic and International Studies
 
|date=13 January 2022
 
}}
 
 
Although most western media outlets kept emphasizing the slow advance of the Russian troops, CSIS placed the speed into historial comparison; "Mechanized attacks are not always as rapid as attackers hope. Two of the quickest movements of armoured forces in history—[[German]] general Heinz Guderian’s punch through the Ardennes and seizure of Dunkirk in May [[1940]], and the U.S. and coalition advance from the [[Kuwait]] border to Baghdad in [[2003]]—each averaged approximately 20 miles per day. Movement against a determined foe in winter conditions with limited daylight could reduce that rate of advance significantly." The cities of [[Kharkiv]] and Odesa are highlighted as the only cities to be required to seize until entering [[Kiev]] for logistic purposes, as the other cities would require an excessive amount of force, which would halt the armoured advance of the Russian troops.
 
 
CSIS also wrote "the initial attack will likely be well supported with artillery and air support, leading to several breakthroughs in Ukrainian defenses. However, once combat units expend their initial stores of ammunition, fuel, and food, the real test of Russian military strength will begin—including Russia’s ability to sustain the advance of a massive mechanized force over hundreds of miles of territory. Kiev and the Dnepr River crossings are at least 150 to 200 road miles from the Russian border, and its army will require at least several days of fighting to reach them. Before that, they will undoubtedly have to resupply, refuel, and replace combat losses of men and material at least once, which will require an operational pause."
 
 
The Ukrainian military command was advised to focus on halting Russian advance until thaw sets in and [[European]] countries openly ship better defensive weapons to the front lines and wait for economic sanctions to turn Russia bankrupt. The eerie consequence many [[Ukrainians]] would be slaughtered by a swift, and especially brutal Russian reaction to Ukrainian resistance was to be expected.
 
  
===Russia===
+
===Eerily Accurate Predictions about Military Timeline===
A former Russian general interviewed for the German version of [[RT]],<ref>https://de.rt.com/europa/140141-kein-quadratmeter-land-fur-kiewes-general-perspektiven-militaeroperation/</ref> based on his own analysis, said that most likely the whole of Ukraine will be claimed by Russia, since: "If even one square meter of land remains under the rule of the current Kiev regime, it will immediately be filled with weapons, and they will fire from there at Russia, at the Russians."
+
{{FA|2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Preparation}}
On 21 September 2022, [[Vladimir Putin]], in a speech to the [[Russia]]n people, announced the mobilisation of 300,000 reservists to fight in [[Ukraine]]:<ref>''[https://rumble.com/v1kxd9f-putin-whole-speech-about-the-mobilization.html "Putin whole speech about the mobilisation"]''</ref><ref>http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69391</ref><ref>https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Document:Address_by_the_President_of_the_Russian_Federation-21_September_2022</ref>
+
The [[Washington D.C]]-based [[Center for Strategic and International Studies]] released a strategic paper on the 13th of January previewing the invasion.
 +
The paper argued the US military to openly supply Ukraine with a "Twenty-First Century Lend-Lease Act" to provide Ukraine with war materiel at no cost and the [[CIA]] to plan and execute [[covert operations]] (ironically called "special operations" in the paper) while letting the Ukrainians stall for time. The paper accurately predicted the Russian strategy and viable Ukrainian responses (which [[CIA]] funding and training undoubtedly helped with).<ref>https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-possible-invasion-ukraine</ref>
  
 
===Execution===
 
===Execution===
{{FA|2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Incorporation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia into Russia}}
+
[[File:2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine Phase 1 animated.gif|300px|thumb|right|Clicking on this GIF image will show the execution of Russia's military execution in the first months.]]
Russia was on the outskirts of [[Kiev]] within 2 weeks in a full scale blitzkrieg - which failed because the CIA was already training Ukraine to prepare for this<ref>https://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-secret-cia-training-program-in-ukraine-helped-kyiv-prepare-for-russian-invasion-090052743.html</ref> - and was pushed back in the winter, trying option 3 and 4 for the remainder of the war. The two sides have been in stalemate ever since with Russia holding the 3 most Eastern Provinces and [[Crimea]].[[File:2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine Phase 1 animated.gif|500px|thumb|left|From Wikipedia's page accessible on top.]]
 
 
 
==Military Aid==
 
[[Dilyana Gaytandzhieva]] found that mid-2019 the US military was giving out contracts of a certain size for ammunition for Russian-made arms which are still widely in use in the former [[Soviet bloc]]; ammunition for assault rifles, pistols, sniper rifles and machine guns - as well as Grad rockets.<ref>https://armswatch.com/pentagon-buys-depleted-uranium-and-russian-made-ammunition/ saved at [https://web.archive.org/web/20210806024649/https://armswatch.com/pentagon-buys-depleted-uranium-and-russian-made-ammunition/ Archive.org]</ref>
 
  
On 14 September [[2020]], [[Ukrainian]] president [[Volodymyr Zelensky]] approved [[Ukraine]]'s new National Security Strategy, "which provides for the development of the distinctive partnership with [[NATO]] with the aim of membership in [[NATO]]." On 24 March [[2021]], [[Volodymyr Zelenskyy|Zelenskyy]] signed the Decree No. 117/2021 approving the "strategy of de-occupation and reintegration of the temporarily occupied territory of the Autonomous Republic of [[Crimea]] and the city of [[Sevastopol]].
+
Russia entered northern [[Kiev]] in 2 weeks in a full scale blitzkrieg. The attempt at Kiev was thought of as a diversion by [[Scott Ritter]], in order to force Ukraine to split focus and power to some extent away from the main battle line.<ref>the explanation starts about 10:15 into the video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SN7o-ThhFfY The first casualty of War is Truth (Live w/Scott Ritter)], The Duran YT channel, Apr 4, 2022</ref> A Russian military commander later clarified that they thought the mood in the population would swing in their favor, but nothing of the sort did happen even remotely, so they adjusted strategy accordingly.<ref>Vladimir Shamanov - retired Colonel General of the Russian Armed Forces, from May 2009 to October 2016 Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Airborne Troops, https://de.rt.com/europa/139630-luftlandetruppen-chef-ad-zum-verlauf-militaeroperation/ - automated translation: "In the interview, the general also acknowledged mistakes made by the military leadership. At the beginning of the operation, he said, the Russian army expected to be "greeted with flowers" in Ukraine. This "component" had already been overcome."</ref>
  
In July 2021, [[Putin]] published an essay titled "On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians", in which he re-affirmed his view that [[Russians]] and [[Ukrainian]]s were "one people". American historian Timothy Snyder described Putin's ideas as imperialism. [[British]] journalist [[Edward Lucas]] described it as [[historical revisionism]]. Other observers have described the Russian leadership as having a distorted view of modern [[Ukraine]] and its history.
+
Within 7 months, [[2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Incorporation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia into Russia|4 Russian states or ''oblasts'' were annexed in a ceremony]].
  
 +
===Military Aid===
 
Apart from the NATO countries, [[Australia]], [[Japan]] and [[South Korea]] gave weapons to Ukraine.<ref>https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/22/ukraine-weapons-military-aid-00019104</ref>
 
Apart from the NATO countries, [[Australia]], [[Japan]] and [[South Korea]] gave weapons to Ukraine.<ref>https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/22/ukraine-weapons-military-aid-00019104</ref>
 
According to both sides, ''over 36.000 foreign [[mercenaries]] alone'' have joined the war as well.<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Foreign_military_involvement</ref>
 
According to both sides, ''over 36.000 foreign [[mercenaries]] alone'' have joined the war as well.<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Foreign_military_involvement</ref>
  
 
====PMCs====
 
====PMCs====
 +
{{FA|2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Wagner coup attempt}}
 +
 
{{YouTubeVideo
 
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The Mozart Group ceased operations in January 2023 after running short of funds. During its last months, it had also been confronting mounting operational difficulties.- ''Forces News'' - April 2022.
 
The Mozart Group ceased operations in January 2023 after running short of funds. During its last months, it had also been confronting mounting operational difficulties.- ''Forces News'' - April 2022.
 
}}
 
}}
[[Erik Prince]], former U.S. [[Navy SEAL]] officer, founder of the private military company [[Blackwater]] was reported to be planning to establish a $10 billion [[PMC]] in Ukraine.<ref>https://time.com/6076035/erik-prince-ukraine-private-army/</ref>. Prince is reported to be "very tight with top agency officials" for over a decade, up to and including during the Trump administration, carrying a 'green badge' that allows contractors to access CIA installations and being in [[Langley]] regularly to meet with senior people in the Directorate of Operations (running [[covert operations]]). The plan was reported by ''[[Time magazine]]'' to be stonewalled by elements in the [[Joe Biden]] administrations and CIA officers arresting Prince his associates in [[Washington D.C]].
+
 
The Russian-based Wagner Group has been accused of trying to assassinate President Zelenskyy in Kiev.<ref>https://lieber.westpoint.edu/are-mercenaries-in-ukraine/</ref>
+
[[Erik Prince]], former U.S. [[Navy SEAL]] officer, founder of the private military company [[Blackwater]] was reported to be planning to establish a $10 billion [[PMC]] in Ukraine.<ref>https://time.com/6076035/erik-prince-ukraine-private-army/</ref>. The plan was reported by ''[[Time magazine]]'' to be stonewalled by elements in the [[Joe Biden]] administrations and CIA officers arresting Prince his associates in [[Washington D.C]].
 +
The Russian-based Wagner Group has been accused of trying to assassinate President Zelenskyy in Kiev, before a chaotic "coup attempt" of the entire Russian Military apparatus and therefore the course of the war, with its entire leadership suffering a aerial [[premature death]].<ref>https://lieber.westpoint.edu/are-mercenaries-in-ukraine/</ref>
  
 
====NATO====
 
====NATO====
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==Reactions==
 
==Reactions==
 +
[[image:Screenshot 2022-02-25 at 04-12-45 Human Rights Watch Watcher ( queeralamode) Twitter.png|right|600px|thumb|Interestingly enough, [[CCM]] media outlet ''[[The Economist]]'' painted [[Putin]] in a much different light than former President [[George W. Bush]], who invaded a country which was never linked to the [[casus belli]] ([[9-11]]), possibly hinting [[NATO]] may still set foot on [[Ukrainian]] soil.]]
 
There are multiple former CIA personnel supporting both<ref>https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-ukraine-weapons-of-mass-destruction-intelligence-matters/</ref><ref>https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/veteran-cia-analyst-claims-ukraine-military-suffered-major-losses-in-war/articleshow/90466150.cms</ref> sides, placing questions what their purpose is. * Postal workers in [[Poland]] were to be trained by soldiers to use weapons following the war.<ref>https://warisboring.com/polish-postal-workers-get-weapons-training-due-to-ukraine-conflict/</ref>
 
There are multiple former CIA personnel supporting both<ref>https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-ukraine-weapons-of-mass-destruction-intelligence-matters/</ref><ref>https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/veteran-cia-analyst-claims-ukraine-military-suffered-major-losses-in-war/articleshow/90466150.cms</ref> sides, placing questions what their purpose is. * Postal workers in [[Poland]] were to be trained by soldiers to use weapons following the war.<ref>https://warisboring.com/polish-postal-workers-get-weapons-training-due-to-ukraine-conflict/</ref>
 
[[Dmitry Medvedev]], once regarded as a [[Russian Liberals|liberal]] and [[technocrat]],<ref>https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2022/06/08/in-moscow-dmitri-medvedev-rails-against-the-degenerates-of-the-west_5986058_4.html</ref><ref>https://www.rferl.org/a/medvedev-liberal-to-bellicose/31818941.html</ref> has changed his rethoric in foreign affairs significantly.<ref>https://www.express.de/politik-und-wirtschaft/russland-dmitri-medwedew-postet-hassnachricht-diese-bastarde-98931</ref><ref>https://en.news-front.info/2022/06/20/dmitry-medvedev-eu-may-disappear-before-ukraine-joins-it/</ref><ref>http://archive.today/2022.06.16-094215/https://twitter.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1537362614715564033</ref>
 
[[Dmitry Medvedev]], once regarded as a [[Russian Liberals|liberal]] and [[technocrat]],<ref>https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2022/06/08/in-moscow-dmitri-medvedev-rails-against-the-degenerates-of-the-west_5986058_4.html</ref><ref>https://www.rferl.org/a/medvedev-liberal-to-bellicose/31818941.html</ref> has changed his rethoric in foreign affairs significantly.<ref>https://www.express.de/politik-und-wirtschaft/russland-dmitri-medwedew-postet-hassnachricht-diese-bastarde-98931</ref><ref>https://en.news-front.info/2022/06/20/dmitry-medvedev-eu-may-disappear-before-ukraine-joins-it/</ref><ref>http://archive.today/2022.06.16-094215/https://twitter.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1537362614715564033</ref>
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}}
 
}}
  
===UK Deep State Faction banned in Russia for alleged part in Crimean Bridge Attack===
+
===Russia===
{{FA|IfS}}
+
A former Russian general interviewed for the German version of [[RT]],<ref>https://de.rt.com/europa/140141-kein-quadratmeter-land-fur-kiewes-general-perspektiven-militaeroperation/</ref> based on his own analysis, said that most likely the whole of Ukraine will be claimed by Russia, since: "If even one square meter of land remains under the rule of the current Kiev regime, it will immediately be filled with weapons, and they will fire from there at Russia, at the Russians."
The '''[[Institute for Statecraft]]''' ('''IfS'''), formerly the '''Institute for Statecraft and Governance'''<ref>https://www.companieslist.co.uk/prev/SC312442-the-institute-for-statecraft-and-governance</ref>, is a [[UK deep state]] [[DSF|faction]] founded in [[2006]] as a limited company <ref>http://anoniem.org/?https://beta.companieshouse.gov.uk/company/SC312442/filing-history</ref>. After receiving [[UK charitable]] status in [[2009]], it has received millions of pounds from the [[UK FCO]] and commercial organisations. The group recruited powerful [[civil servants]], [[journalists]] and [[politicians]], led my [[deep state operatives]] and [[spooks]] to [[astroturf]] and organise narratives against Russia to turn Russia into a [[enemy image]]. After its first soft exposure, [[Daniel Lafayeedney]] - who was found in the underground [[London]] [[black site]] listed as HQ in [[2018]], reportedly "slammed the door on a journalist and politicians face, without saying anything". After a complete exposure with leaks, mails with plans to undermine democratic institutions and counter Russian political power worldwide<ref>https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Integrity_Initiative#Activities</ref>, lawsuits by a member threatening ''Wikispooks itself<ref>[[Jacopo Iacoboni]]</ref>'' (by claiming the group to be hoax), the [[Ifs]] wiped everything on their site except the front page, with their members removing any mentioning in their resumés, and said to have "dissolved" itself and got "hacked" which resulted in "falsified content". On 20 March, [[2023]], the institute was declared an "undesirable organisation" in [[Russia]] for "suspected involvement in blowing up the Crimean Bridge" in September 2022 by [[Ifs]] leader [[Chris Donelly]]<ref>https://thegrayzone.com/2022/10/10/ukrainian-kerch-bridge/</ref> seemingly ''hinting the Ifs to still exist''.<ref>https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-institute-statecraft-undesirable-organizations/32326596.html</ref><ref>https://www.svoboda.org/a/genprokuratura-priznala-nezhelateljnoy-organizatsiey-institute-for-statecraft/32326506.html</ref>
+
On 21 September 2022, [[Vladimir Putin]], in a speech to the [[Russia]]n people, announced the mobilisation of 300,000 reservists to fight in [[Ukraine]]:<ref>''[https://rumble.com/v1kxd9f-putin-whole-speech-about-the-mobilization.html "Putin whole speech about the mobilisation"]''</ref><ref>http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69391</ref><ref>https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Document:Address_by_the_President_of_the_Russian_Federation-21_September_2022</ref>
 +
 
 +
By August 2023 [[Alexander Lukaschenko]] <ref>https://de.rt.com/international/178176-lukaschenko-im-interview-mit-ukrainischer/</ref> and [[Jacob Dreizin]] <ref>https://thedreizinreport.com/2023/08/10/today-borscht-reichs-kupiansk-front-collapsed-in-mass-retreat-of-militia-2nd-echelon-units-lacking-fire-support-facing-logistical-breakdown-as-veteran-russian-forces-advanced-all-of-this-toda/</ref> see that the Russian forces will deploy their strategic reserves in the near future.
  
 
===Censorship===
 
===Censorship===
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:On Friday 16 June 2023, the delegation held talks with Ukrainian President [[Volodymyr Zelenskyy]] in [[Kyiv]].
 
:On Friday 16 June 2023, the delegation held talks with Ukrainian President [[Volodymyr Zelenskyy]] in [[Kyiv]].
 
 
:Ukraine’s leader said after meeting the leaders that peace talks with [[Russia]] would be possible only after Moscow withdrew its forces from occupied Ukrainian territory.
 
:Ukraine’s leader said after meeting the leaders that peace talks with [[Russia]] would be possible only after Moscow withdrew its forces from occupied Ukrainian territory.
 
 
:“We have come to listen to you and through you to hear the voice of the Russian people,” said [[Comoros]] President [[Azali Assoumani]], who currently heads the [[African Union]], told [[Putin]]. “We wanted to encourage you to enter into negotiations with Ukraine.”<ref>''[https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/6/17/war-in-ukraine-must-stop-south-africas-ramaphosa-tells-putin "War in Ukraine must stop, South Africa’s Ramaphosa tells Putin"]''</ref>}}
 
:“We have come to listen to you and through you to hear the voice of the Russian people,” said [[Comoros]] President [[Azali Assoumani]], who currently heads the [[African Union]], told [[Putin]]. “We wanted to encourage you to enter into negotiations with Ukraine.”<ref>''[https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/6/17/war-in-ukraine-must-stop-south-africas-ramaphosa-tells-putin "War in Ukraine must stop, South Africa’s Ramaphosa tells Putin"]''</ref>}}
  
 
A commentator tweeted:{{QB|
 
A commentator tweeted:{{QB|
 
:You might not be aware of this, but there is an African Peace Initiative going on, led by [[Cyril Ramaphosa]].
 
:You might not be aware of this, but there is an African Peace Initiative going on, led by [[Cyril Ramaphosa]].
   
+
  :You won't hear about it because [[NATO]], the [[EU]] and the [[US]] don't actually want peace.<ref>''[https://twitter.com/0Calamity/status/1670539953602809856 "There is an Africa Peace Initiative going on, led by Cyril Ramaphosa"]''</ref>}}
:You won't hear about it because [[NATO]], the [[EU]] and the [[US]] don't actually want peace.<ref>''[https://twitter.com/0Calamity/status/1670539953602809856 "There is an Africa Peace Initiative going on, led by Cyril Ramaphosa"]''</ref>}}
+
 
 +
===Ukrainian internal advisors giving up in 2023===
 +
In, [[2023]], many internal advisors were leaking to western [[CCM]] that Zelensky was being used as buffer and pawn as they admitted to [[Time]] Magazine they never could win the war;
 +
 
 +
{{SMWQ
 +
|align=
 +
|text=After his visit to Washington, TIME followed the President and his team back to Kyiv, hoping to understand how they would react to the signals they had received, especially the insistent calls for Zelensky to fight corruption inside his own government, and the fading enthusiasm for a war with no end in sight. On my first day in Kyiv, I asked one member of his circle how the President was feeling. The response came without a second’s hesitation: “Angry.”
 +
 
 +
The usual sparkle of his optimism, his sense of humor, his tendency to liven up a meeting in the war room with a bit of banter or a bawdy joke, none of that has survived into the second year of all-out war. “Now he walks in, gets the updates, gives the orders, and walks out,” says one longtime member of his team. Another tells me that, most of all, Zelensky feels betrayed by his Western allies. They have left him without the means to win the war, only the means to survive it.
 +
But his convictions haven’t changed. Despite the recent setbacks on the battlefield, he does not intend to give up fighting or to sue for any kind of peace. On the contrary, his belief in Ukraine’s ultimate victory over Russia has hardened into a form that worries some of his advisers. It is immovable, verging on the messianic. “He deludes himself,” one of his closest aides tells me in frustration. “We’re out of options. We’re not winning. But try telling him that.”
  
==Social effects==
+
Zelensky’s stubbornness, some of his aides say, has hurt their team’s efforts to come up with a new strategy, a new message. As they have debated the future of the war, one issue has remained taboo: the possibility of negotiating a peace deal with the Russians
{{YouTubeVideo
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|subjects=Ukraine, Zeleknsky
|code=XXxaoLUPR80
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|source_name=TIME Magazine, Time.
|align=right
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|source_URL=https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-interview/
|width=
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|authors= Simon Shuster
|caption=Europe's Far-Right Resurgence in 2022 - ''TLDR News EU''.
+
|date=October 30, 2023
 
}}
 
}}
The halting of Russian imports by [[NATO]] countries helped several right wing political parties win significant control of the narrative all over [[Europe]]. Putin was depicted in 2023 as "waiting for Ukrainian aid to stop when [[Donald Trump]] would be elected".<ref>https://www.businessinsider.com/bolton-putin-waiting-for-trump-to-withdraw-from-nato-in-2nd-term-2022-3?international=true&r=US&IR=T</ref>
 
  
===Deportations===
+
==Structural deep event?==
{{FA|2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Deep Political Impact}}
 
The [[US]] embassy in Kyiv cited the Ukrainian foreign ministry as claiming that 2,389 Ukrainian children had been illegally removed from the self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Luhansk and taken to Russia.
 
Ukraine's human rights ombudsman said 402,000 Ukrainians had been forcefully taken to Russia, including around 84,000 children. Russian authorities said that more than 384,000 people, including over 80,000 children, had been evacuated to Russia from Ukraine and from the self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Luhansk for their own secruity, which would not be a crime according to war laws.<ref>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_crimes_in_the_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Abduction_and_deportation</ref>
 
 
 
===Sex trafficking===
 
 
{{YouTubeVideo
 
{{YouTubeVideo
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|code=7F0jE1UAdt8
|align=left
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|align=right
 
|width=
 
|width=
|caption=Human traffickers exploit desperation of Ukrainian refugees and their children - ''PBS Newshour'' - November 2022.
+
|caption= Leaked Pentagon Docs Show U.S. & U.K. Special Forces Already in Ukraine as War Heads to Stalemate  - [[Democracy Now!]]
 
}}
 
}}
[[Refugee]] waves caused by the Russian invasion caused 8 million Ukrainians to flee, putting a strain on Ukraine's ability to get enough manpower.
 
Several media outlets began to report [[human trafficking]] networks where girls and boys that fled were either kidnapped or bought to [[Mexico]], [[Turkey]] or the [[UAE]].<ref>https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/05/20/putins-ukraine-war-sex-trafficking/9733542002/</ref><ref>https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60891801</ref>
 
Demand for [[Ukrainian]] women by [[VIPedophile]] networks was reported by European Commissioner Ylva Johansson to be sky-high.<ref>https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60891801</ref>
 
According to the US government, several Ukrainian officials were abducting and selling children from Ukrainian orphanages, from a pool of at least 104000 children.<ref>https://www.state.gov/reports/2022-trafficking-in-persons-report/ukraine/</ref>
 
 
===Worldwide effects===
 
The war was a catalyst for several political, economical and sociological events, and in others stimulated them. [[OECD]] warned for "spur [[inflation|inflationary]] pressures, sapping confidence and household purchasing power and increasing risks worldwide".<ref>https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=2ahUKEwjxm5byrKL8AhWzh_0HHSYqBVYQFnoECA8QAw&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.oecd.org%2Fnewsroom%2Frussia-s-war-of-aggression-against-ukraine-continues-to-create-serious-headwinds-for-global-economy.htm&usg=AOvVaw0PYqpgyP8zUEOBS_68K5Dx</ref> As Kiev did not fall, Russian began [[terror]] bombing Ukrainian civilians, and tried to demoralize the populations of the [[countries]] supporting them by causing waves of refugees and economic recessions.
 
 
==Structural deep event?==
 
 
{{FA|Structural deep event}}
 
{{FA|Structural deep event}}
 
[[Jacob Dreizin]], a former US/Army soldier who publishes military analysis of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on his website, voiced concern that some Javelins that are sent to Ukraine will enter the black market and may be used to shoot down civilian airliners at some point in the future. A view that, before long, is starting to be shared by [[Interpol]] <ref>https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/02/ukraine-weapons-end-up-criminal-hands-says-interpol-chief-jurgen-stock</ref><ref>https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2022/06/01/Interpol-warns-of-flood-of-illicit-arms-after-Ukraine-war-</ref> and [[Europol]].<ref>https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/europol-warns-of-weapons-influx/</ref><ref>https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-russia-amps-up-pressure-in-donbas-and-confirms-capture-of-key-town-as-it-happened/a-61960465</ref>
 
[[Jacob Dreizin]], a former US/Army soldier who publishes military analysis of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on his website, voiced concern that some Javelins that are sent to Ukraine will enter the black market and may be used to shoot down civilian airliners at some point in the future. A view that, before long, is starting to be shared by [[Interpol]] <ref>https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/02/ukraine-weapons-end-up-criminal-hands-says-interpol-chief-jurgen-stock</ref><ref>https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2022/06/01/Interpol-warns-of-flood-of-illicit-arms-after-Ukraine-war-</ref> and [[Europol]].<ref>https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/europol-warns-of-weapons-influx/</ref><ref>https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-russia-amps-up-pressure-in-donbas-and-confirms-capture-of-key-town-as-it-happened/a-61960465</ref>
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===Russian Mystery attacks===
 
===Russian Mystery attacks===
 
Russian mystery fires and bombings occurred since the start of the war, and have not been formally explained. There have been many notable bombing attacks on dozens of different buildings, including, churches, gas stations, oil wells, bridges, politicians homes, ammunition depots and more, hinting the Russian government to not be the prime suspect.<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20220514133809/https://www.newsweek.com/every-mysterious-fire-break-out-russia-recently-full-list-1704100</ref>
 
Russian mystery fires and bombings occurred since the start of the war, and have not been formally explained. There have been many notable bombing attacks on dozens of different buildings, including, churches, gas stations, oil wells, bridges, politicians homes, ammunition depots and more, hinting the Russian government to not be the prime suspect.<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20220514133809/https://www.newsweek.com/every-mysterious-fire-break-out-russia-recently-full-list-1704100</ref>
 +
 +
===Russian Sleeper Agents===
 +
According to German [[police]], 2 German-Russian nationals were arrested in April of 2024 on suspicion of plotting sabotage attacks, including on U.S. military facilities, in what officials called a serious effort to undermine military support for Ukraine.
 +
Authorities have searched the homes and workplaces of the two suspects who stand accused of working for the Russian [[FSB]], discussing plots and bombing targets in Germany.<ref>https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-arrests-two-alleged-military-sabotage-plot-behalf-russia-2024-04-18/</ref>
  
 
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Latest revision as of 23:45, 12 September 2024

Event.png "Imperialism"
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine (Bombing,  Invasion,  War,  Cold War 2.0,  genocide?) Rdf-entity.pngRdf-icon.png
A0659ccf691671adce459fc4c6816bf6.jpg
Date24 February 2022 - Present
LocationDonbass,  Kyiv,  Ukraine,  Moscow,  Russia,  Europe,  Black Sea
PlannersVladimir Putin, Ukraine, CIA, NATO?
ParticipantsRussia, Ukraine, Belarus, DPR, LPR
SponsorsNATO, US, China, Iran
Deaths65000
Injured (non-fatal)700000
Interest of'Burning Blogger of Bedlam', Lyudmyla Denisova, Jacob Dreizin, Daria Kaleniuk, Rebekah Koffler, Patrick Lancaster, Joe Lauria, Lila Rajiva, Scott Ritter, Wagner Group
Interests • Encirclement of Russia
• NATO/Propaganda
• War in Donbass
• US/Exceptionalism
• Russophobia
• “Russian Propaganda”
Filmed byCNN, Patrick Lancaster
Subpage2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Incorporation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia into Russia
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Legacy
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Premature death
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Preparation
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Wagner coup attempt
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/War Crimes
DescriptionIn a new episode of Cold War 2.0 Russia forcefully halted NATO expansion by invading Ukraine, with financial support of China. Although the EU and US denounced the "war crimes" as multiple cities were bombed, several countries opted less severe sanctions to keep importing diamonds and luxury goods and gas (and their loaned money) from Russia, seemingly creating a new iron curtain in Eastern Europe.

The 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine began on 24 February 2022 when Russia launched a large-scale "Special Military Operation" against its south-west neighbour Ukraine involving forces from western Russia, Belarus and Crimea,[1] a severe escalation of the Russo-Ukrainian War that started in 2014 with the CIA/NATO-sponsored 2014 Ukraine coup.[2]

Russian president Vladimir Putin escalated talks with ultimatums to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO in 2021, but invaded when Russia's demands were not met.[3][4] There is, however, a certain probability that this move was also necessary to preempt a military offensive by the Ukrainian forces against the Donbass region.[5][6][7][8] In addition, on 18th February, Ukrainian forces increased their shelling of the separatist regions significantly; with more than a thousand, possibly several thousand shells fired on areas inhabited by civilians that live in the region.[9][10][11][12]

Before the start of the invasion, rearmament with nuclear weapons was brought up as a possibility by Ukrainian government officials, along with other statements to the effect that nuclear disarmament was a mistake, dating back at least to Oleksandr Turchynov in 2019.[13]

Official narrative

On 25 February 2022, Wikipedia wrote:[14]

Gravitas - 2022 - The basic official narrative explained with history but omitting relevant geopolitical realities (also omitting for example, what Zelensky's promises were before he was elected, which was to make peace in the east [15][16])

Following the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, Ukraine and Russia continued to retain close ties.

In 1994, Ukraine agreed to abandon its nuclear arsenal and signed the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances on condition that Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States would provide assurances against threats or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine.

Five years later, Russia was one of the signatories of the Charter for European Security, where it "reaffirmed the inherent right of each and every participating State to be free to choose or change its security arrangements, including treaties of alliance, as they evolve.

Concerns

Some feel that Ukraine war (as a crisis) did replace the COVID-19 pandemic;[17] the attack came at a time when the COVID-19 fear narrative was falling apart rather spectacularly. The "Omicron" variant understood to have a very low IFR, and official statistics were showing that the COVID jabs increased risk of omicron infection. For this reason a change of topic was opportune.

Legacy

Full article: 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Legacy

Many outcomes and consequences must have been war-gamed before the escalation. The civil war in Ukraine, which is also a US/Nato/Russia proxy war, was a lingering conflict since 2014 and was meant to be dialed up at some point, so the results may not all be totally unintended. That Putin will act and send the army when a Russian population comes under intense heavy weapons fire was absolutely clear to everybody since the 2008 conflict with Georgia.[18]

“[...] as I have stated since the outbreak of the war, in my opinion, the Ukraine war is a U.S. proxy war not against Russia, but against Europe. It is the launchpad for a continent-wide destabilisation project that will create conflict zone conditions across Europe. It will divide the EU against itself, it will de-industrialize the continent and turn it into another laboratory for the imposition of severe, neoliberal austerity policies that will wipe out all, except the largest private sector players and basically re-feudalise Europe.”
Shahid Bolsen (April 5, 2023)  [19]

War Preparation

Full articles: 2014 Ukraine coup, Cold War 2.0
Full article: Encirclement of Russia

Since the end of the Cold War[20] NATO is getting closer to Russia. Multiple sides prepared for this war, including a propaganda war by the Ifs, a UK and EU Deep state faction, the Ukrainian regime installed after the Euromaidan and Russia's leadership. Russia has said that a possible Ukrainian accession to NATO and the NATO enlargement in general threaten its national security. In turn, Ukraine and other European countries neighboring Russia have accused Putin of attempting Russian irredentism and of pursuing aggressive militaristic policies."[21] A Dutch investigation by journalist Tim Hofman revealed the European internet providers actually decided within one day to make telephones calls - to Ukraine from the EU - free of charge. The same European Telecom providers refused the same procedures for at least 8 months into the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Upon investigation by the same journalist, at least one Dutch telecom provider lied on camera that a "middle-man actually requested the 26 EU countries" to immediately order telecom companies within one day after the Russian invasion. After verifying this procedure with multiple Dutch Ministerial Departments, this handler was denied to have ever existed, playing questions as to who or whom is deep lobbying to deny Palestinians cheaper telecommunication systems, but grant them to Ukrainians at instant.[22]

Putin's speech on 21 February 2022, reiterating many points of his July 2021 article about the "Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians",[23] which was made required reading in the Russian army.[24]
Sky News.

Eerily Accurate Predictions about Military Timeline

Full article: 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Preparation

The Washington D.C-based Center for Strategic and International Studies released a strategic paper on the 13th of January previewing the invasion. The paper argued the US military to openly supply Ukraine with a "Twenty-First Century Lend-Lease Act" to provide Ukraine with war materiel at no cost and the CIA to plan and execute covert operations (ironically called "special operations" in the paper) while letting the Ukrainians stall for time. The paper accurately predicted the Russian strategy and viable Ukrainian responses (which CIA funding and training undoubtedly helped with).[25]

Execution

Clicking on this GIF image will show the execution of Russia's military execution in the first months.

Russia entered northern Kiev in 2 weeks in a full scale blitzkrieg. The attempt at Kiev was thought of as a diversion by Scott Ritter, in order to force Ukraine to split focus and power to some extent away from the main battle line.[26] A Russian military commander later clarified that they thought the mood in the population would swing in their favor, but nothing of the sort did happen even remotely, so they adjusted strategy accordingly.[27]

Within 7 months, 4 Russian states or oblasts were annexed in a ceremony.

Military Aid

Apart from the NATO countries, Australia, Japan and South Korea gave weapons to Ukraine.[28] According to both sides, over 36.000 foreign mercenaries alone have joined the war as well.[29]

PMCs

Full article: 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Wagner coup attempt
The Mozart Group was a private military company operating in Ukraine during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine. The Mozart Group was composed of "Western volunteers"

It was co-founded in 2022 by Andrew Milburn, a retired U.S. Marine colonel Deputy Commander of Special Operations Command Central and Andrew Bain, also a former U.S. Marine colonel. The Mozart Group ceased operations in January 2023 after running short of funds. During its last months, it had also been confronting mounting operational difficulties.- Forces News - April 2022.

Erik Prince, former U.S. Navy SEAL officer, founder of the private military company Blackwater was reported to be planning to establish a $10 billion PMC in Ukraine.[30]. The plan was reported by Time magazine to be stonewalled by elements in the Joe Biden administrations and CIA officers arresting Prince his associates in Washington D.C. The Russian-based Wagner Group has been accused of trying to assassinate President Zelenskyy in Kiev, before a chaotic "coup attempt" of the entire Russian Military apparatus and therefore the course of the war, with its entire leadership suffering a aerial premature death.[31]

NATO

“I asked them – are you with us?” Zelensky said. “They answered that they are with us, but they don’t want to take us into the alliance. I’ve asked 27 leaders of Europe, if Ukraine will be in NATO, I’ve asked them directly — all are afraid and did not respond We were left by ourselves. Who is ready to go to war for us? Honestly, I don’t see anybody. Who is ready to give Ukraine guarantees of NATO membership? Honestly, everybody is afraid”
Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  RT (24 February 2022)  [32]

Ukraine has been left to fend for itself according to President Zelenskyy, with NATO refusing to enter Ukraine according to him, upon request. The Ukrainian president even publicly suggested to negotiate for Swiss-styled neutrality to not join NATO per law.[33] This appears to pave the way more for military spending into the 2020s.[34]

NATO openly ships weapons (and credit) in support of Ukraine.[35] At the end of April 2022, Rheinmetall wanted to send 88 Leopard 1 to Ukraine (along with other numbers for other weapons systems).[36][37][38] The use of the number 88 and it's connotation and symbology was noted by Florian Rötzer.[39][40] The Chief Operating Officer for Rheinmetall get's lost for four days in mid May 2022.[41][42] While German press writes mostly clueless articles about the matter, a Swiss publication notes: "Kutz (Thorsten Kutz) may have been an appealing kidnapping target for Russian agents because of his insider knowledge."[43] (in another incident, possibly unrelated, the drinks at a social gathering of the SPD are spiked in July 2022)[44][45][46]

Reactions

Interestingly enough, CCM media outlet The Economist painted Putin in a much different light than former President George W. Bush, who invaded a country which was never linked to the casus belli (9-11), possibly hinting NATO may still set foot on Ukrainian soil.

There are multiple former CIA personnel supporting both[47][48] sides, placing questions what their purpose is. * Postal workers in Poland were to be trained by soldiers to use weapons following the war.[49] Dmitry Medvedev, once regarded as a liberal and technocrat,[50][51] has changed his rethoric in foreign affairs significantly.[52][53][54]

“The bitter truth is that Washington's foreign policy establishment never actually considered Zelensky - or his predecessor Poroshenko - to be allies or partners of the United States. Overflowing with a toxic mix of ignorance, arrogance, and extreme cynicism, Washington's elites have always viewed Ukraine as a tool to "regime-change" a Russia that, after its post-Yeltsin recovery, would no longer take its direction from them. The false gods of American exceptionalism are jealous ones indeed.”
Daniel McAdams (26 February 2022)  [55]

“Putin may circle Kyiv with tanks, but he'll never gain the hearts and souls of the Iranian people”
Joe Biden (2 March 2022)  [56]

Russia

A former Russian general interviewed for the German version of RT,[57] based on his own analysis, said that most likely the whole of Ukraine will be claimed by Russia, since: "If even one square meter of land remains under the rule of the current Kiev regime, it will immediately be filled with weapons, and they will fire from there at Russia, at the Russians." On 21 September 2022, Vladimir Putin, in a speech to the Russian people, announced the mobilisation of 300,000 reservists to fight in Ukraine:[58][59][60]

By August 2023 Alexander Lukaschenko [61] and Jacob Dreizin [62] see that the Russian forces will deploy their strategic reserves in the near future.

Censorship

War reporters, such as Patrick Lancaster were demonetized or censored from channels like YouTube.

In an exclusive interview on CGTN, Alfred de Zayas, UN's first independent expert on the Promotion of a Democratic and Equitable International Order, argues that colour revolutions are "all illegal," violating the UN Charter and customary international law. "An imperial arrogance and narcissism" is being revealed, says de Zayas, and "the poor Ukrainian people are now paying for this." China Global Television Network, 2 March 2022.

The EU decreed as of March, 2 that "distribution" of RT or Sputnik news is forbidden.[63] Russia responded by expelling German journalists from their Deutsche Welle office in Moscow.[64]

A case for the International Criminal Court?

Full article: International Criminal Court

Most US-backed countries such as the UK under Boris Johnson called the bombing of cities such as Charkov and Kyiv a war crime.[65] The Council of Europe suspended Russia.

UN/Security Council

Full article: UN/Security Council

China denounced the use of the word "invasion" and accused the United States of agitating for war, and refused to vote for military action against Russia in the UN/Security Council.[66] This geopolitical angle was not discussed widely in western corporate media, a continuation of a Cold War 2.0, where Russia and (since the 2010s) China have been working together to form a geopolitical force against the EU and the US.[67] China increased their imports from Russia, effectively halting financial consequences for the first stages of the war.[68]

In October 2022, the UN General Assembly overwhelmingly voted to condemn Russia (resolution was supported by 143 countries, while 35 states - including China and India - abstained.[69]

Sanctions

Full article: Sanctions

Italy and Belgium refused severe sanctions for Russian banking as "diamonds" and "luxury clothing" were deemed more important than Ukrainian lives.[70] With China backing Russia in the UN Security Council, Ukraine appeared to be facing the same fate of African countries during the the imperialism of the 1900s as merely a toy in geopolitical games.[71]

Nord Stream is a system of offshore natural gas pipelines from Russia to Germany. In 2011, Nord Stream AG started evaluation of an expansion project consisting of two additional lines (later named Nord Stream 2) to increase the overall annual capacity up to 110 billion m3 (3.9 trillion cu ft). Following this invasion, certification of NS2 was suspended indefinitely by Germany.

Fear of counter-sanctions

This is auto-translated text of a Telegram post in Russian. The text was shared on the German version of RT on 12th March 2022, writing: "A usually well-informed journalist writes on Telegram, citing the Russian Foreign Ministry".[72][73] It could be understood as an answer to a Foreign Affairs article from 25th February 2022.[74]

Germany imports 30% of its oil and 50% of its gas supply from Russia, making it vulnerable to counter-sanctions and depleting its own reserves as oil and gas prices soared.[75]

Energy Crisis

A Russia–EU gas dispute escalated in March 2022. The EU refused to pay Russia's Gazprom (after Russia tried to counter sanctions by ordering payment in Rubles[76]) as a way of countering the economic diplomacy of sanctions of the European countries that almost caused the Russian Central Bank to collapse.[77] In June, Russia cut the flow of gas by more than half, and continued to stop it and resume it by half or more for at least 8 months. On 26 September of the same year, the Nord Stream 1 and 2 gas pipelines both ruptured with evidence of sabotage[78], worsening an energy crisis in Western Europe that got increasingly worse in 2021. There events fitted conspicuously well with the long planned supranational deep state strategy to dismantle industrial economies under the pretext of a green agenda.[79]

Sanctions against China?

The Atlantic Council called Washington D.C to prepare sanctions also against China as punishment for its support of Russia.[80]

World Economic Forum

Full article: World Economic Forum

Klaus Schwab has boasted of Putin's inclusion in the WEF Global Leaders for Tomorrow deep state recruitment network[81], but the WEF removed their page of Putin following the invasion,[82] and cut ties to Russia shortly thereafter.[83][84]

Peace initiatives

Stop the War

In May 2023, Stop the War Coalition petitioned prime minister Rishi Sunak to demand a ceasefire and an end to hostilities:

Dear Prime Minister,
The war in Ukraine has raged for over a year at great cost to the Ukrainian people and leading to greater instability worldwide. The urgent need is for a ceasefire and peace talks. We oppose the UK government’s plans to provide long range cruise missiles, drones and fighter plane training to the Ukrainian military.
The Tory government is leading the West’s effort to escalate the war in Ukraine. If delivered, these will be the first long range missiles any government has sent to Ukraine. Britain has more special forces in Ukraine than any other country in a war it claims not to be involved in.
These actions will only prolong the war and the suffering of the Ukrainian people, and they risk a wider, potentially nuclear, confrontation with Russia. Even senior US foreign policy figures admit there is no prospect of an all-out victory for either side.
We endorse the views of the recent letter in the New York Times, where former diplomats and military figures argued that this is not a war that can be won and peace is a necessity now:
“The immediate cause of this disastrous war in Ukraine is Russia’s invasion. Yet the plans and actions to expand NATO to Russia’s borders served to provoke Russian fears. And Russian leaders made this point for 30 years. A failure of diplomacy led to war. Now diplomacy is urgently needed to end the Russia-Ukraine War before it destroys Ukraine and endangers humanity.”
Rather than fanning the flames of war, our government should be backing growing international calls for peace negotiations and demanding a ceasefire and end to hostilities.
Stop the War Coalition calls for peace
Yours sincerely,
Shelly Asquith, Stop the War Chair
Shadia Edwards-Dashti, Stop the War Officer
Brian Eno, Stop the War President
Lindsey German, Stop the War Convenor
Alex Gordon, RMT President
Kate Hudson, CND General Secretary[85]

African Peace Initiative

On 17 June 2023, South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa tweeted:

Today we are at the Konstantinovsky Palace in St Petersburg to hold peace talks with President Putin of the Russian Federation as part of the African Peace Initiative.[86]

Al Jazeera reported:

“This war has to have an end… It must be settled through negotiations and through diplomatic means,” said Ramaphosa in St Petersburg on Saturday at the 18th-century Konstantinovsky Palace.
He added his delegation, consisting of seven African leaders from South Africa, Egypt, the Republic of the Congo, Senegal, Zambia, Uganda and Comoros “came with a very clear message: that this war has to be ended”.
“This war is having a negative impact on the African continent and indeed, on many other countries around the world,” Ramaphosa said.
Putin interrupted opening remarks by African leaders seeking to mediate in the Ukraine conflict to deliver a list of reasons why he believed many of their proposals were misguided.
He reiterated his position that Ukraine and the West had started the conflict long before Russia sent its armed forces over the border in February last year. He said Russia had never refused talks with the Ukrainian side, which had been blocked by Kyiv.
On Friday 16 June 2023, the delegation held talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv.
Ukraine’s leader said after meeting the leaders that peace talks with Russia would be possible only after Moscow withdrew its forces from occupied Ukrainian territory.
“We have come to listen to you and through you to hear the voice of the Russian people,” said Comoros President Azali Assoumani, who currently heads the African Union, told Putin. “We wanted to encourage you to enter into negotiations with Ukraine.”[87]

A commentator tweeted:

You might not be aware of this, but there is an African Peace Initiative going on, led by Cyril Ramaphosa.

:You won't hear about it because NATO, the EU and the US don't actually want peace.[88]

Ukrainian internal advisors giving up in 2023

In, 2023, many internal advisors were leaking to western CCM that Zelensky was being used as buffer and pawn as they admitted to Time Magazine they never could win the war;

“After his visit to Washington, TIME followed the President and his team back to Kyiv, hoping to understand how they would react to the signals they had received, especially the insistent calls for Zelensky to fight corruption inside his own government, and the fading enthusiasm for a war with no end in sight. On my first day in Kyiv, I asked one member of his circle how the President was feeling. The response came without a second’s hesitation: “Angry.”

The usual sparkle of his optimism, his sense of humor, his tendency to liven up a meeting in the war room with a bit of banter or a bawdy joke, none of that has survived into the second year of all-out war. “Now he walks in, gets the updates, gives the orders, and walks out,” says one longtime member of his team. Another tells me that, most of all, Zelensky feels betrayed by his Western allies. They have left him without the means to win the war, only the means to survive it. But his convictions haven’t changed. Despite the recent setbacks on the battlefield, he does not intend to give up fighting or to sue for any kind of peace. On the contrary, his belief in Ukraine’s ultimate victory over Russia has hardened into a form that worries some of his advisers. It is immovable, verging on the messianic. “He deludes himself,” one of his closest aides tells me in frustration. “We’re out of options. We’re not winning. But try telling him that.”

Zelensky’s stubbornness, some of his aides say, has hurt their team’s efforts to come up with a new strategy, a new message. As they have debated the future of the war, one issue has remained taboo: the possibility of negotiating a peace deal with the Russians”
Simon Shuster (October 30, 2023)  [89]

Structural deep event?

Leaked Pentagon Docs Show U.S. & U.K. Special Forces Already in Ukraine as War Heads to Stalemate - Democracy Now!
Full article: Rated 4/5 Structural deep event

Jacob Dreizin, a former US/Army soldier who publishes military analysis of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on his website, voiced concern that some Javelins that are sent to Ukraine will enter the black market and may be used to shoot down civilian airliners at some point in the future. A view that, before long, is starting to be shared by Interpol [90][91] and Europol.[92][93]

The new head of the British Army's (Patrick Sanders) told his troops they must prepare to fight the Russian army in a potential World War Three.[94] / UK general Richard Shirreff (former Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe) is voicing these concerns since at least 2016.[95][96]

FSB/CIA Assassination ring

Full article: 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Premature Death

Hundreds of important Russian businessmen, military officers, family members and even advisors of President Putin were killed or committed suicide in and outside Russia, with nearly all survivors of these "suicides" hinting a possible assassination ring to be present in Russia.

Russian Mystery attacks

Russian mystery fires and bombings occurred since the start of the war, and have not been formally explained. There have been many notable bombing attacks on dozens of different buildings, including, churches, gas stations, oil wells, bridges, politicians homes, ammunition depots and more, hinting the Russian government to not be the prime suspect.[97]

Russian Sleeper Agents

According to German police, 2 German-Russian nationals were arrested in April of 2024 on suspicion of plotting sabotage attacks, including on U.S. military facilities, in what officials called a serious effort to undermine military support for Ukraine. Authorities have searched the homes and workplaces of the two suspects who stand accused of working for the Russian FSB, discussing plots and bombing targets in Germany.[98]

 

Sub-Pages

          Page Name          SizeDescription
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Incorporation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia into Russia33,951Late September 2022, Russia held 4 referendums annexing some regions from Ukraine.
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Legacy24,900A list of long term political effects that have a significant chance of becoming permanent in the countries of participants or sponsors.
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Premature death10,232Premature deaths of mostly Russian businessman during and around when the Russian invasion commenced. There may be Ukrainian and others as well. As the list grows, it appears the men are being targeted in dozens of western countries as well.
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Preparation14,583A list of ways both sides prepared for the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine.
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/Wagner coup attempt6,052An attempted coup, by some seen as false flag by Putin to lure out generals and double agents within the Russian State, by others as the sign the Russian state will collapse in the 2020s.
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine/War Crimes8,312A list of War crimes and propaganda in this event.

 

Related Quotations

PageQuoteAuthorDate
2014 Ukraine coup“I suspect this entire Ukraine Crisis had been war-gamed and war planned quite some time ago at the highest levels of US/NATO. Notice DOD slipped 2 US warships into the Black Sea just before the Olympics under a patently absurd pretext. In other words, what we are seeing unfold here is a US/NATO War Plan. They instigated the fascist coup against Yanukovich. They anticipated that Putin would then respond by taking over Crimea.

I suspect the US/NATO/EU response will be to introduce military forces into Western Ukraine and Kiev and thus make Ukraine a de facto member of NATO, which has been their objective all along. They have already anticipated what Putin’s next move after that will be. Notice also the massive anti-Russian campaign by the Western News Media working in lock-step with each other. Another sign that all this has been planned well in advance.

I suspect that US/NATO/EU figure that Putin knows they have this offensive, first-strike strategic nuclear capability with a rudimentary ABM/BMD capability so that at the end of the day he will be forced to stand down—or else. Compellence as opposed to Deterrence. Just like during the Cuban Missile Crisis. That is where this US/NATO/EU War Plan is heading on the assumptions that they can keep their deliberate Escalation Dominance under their control and that at the end of the day Putin will be forced to stand down just like Khrushchev did and for the same reasons. That would leave US/NATO/EU in control of at least half of Ukraine as a de facto NATO member state.”
Francis BoyleFebruary 2014
Azov Battalion“In 2014, when the volunteer squads were defending the country, many of their appeals were quite radical against the Russian Federation. They were volunteers and it was their personal point of view. The Azov battalion are not volunteers, but are part of the National Guard. They are the official army of our state. Those who wanted to engage in politics - they were engaged in politics. Those who decided to be in the AFU, they became part of the AFU,”Volodymyr ZelenskyMay 2022
Josep Borrell“This war will be won on the battlefield. Additional €500 million from the #EPF are underway. Weapon deliveries will be tailored to Ukrainian needs.”Josep Borrell9 April 2022
Dave Cullen“[...] whether it is Covid lockdowns, or raising the price of electricity and fuel, or restrictions on energy usage, such as mandatory rationing, or even powercuts - the result is always the same. Winding down the economy, destroying small to medium businesses, forcing more people to stay at home, reducing human movement and making people dependent on the government for their most basic needs. [...] The plan appears to be, do drag on the Ukraine war for as long as possible, so as to create an excuse to accelerate the transition to completely insufficient power sources such as wind, wave and solar energy, during this process energy rationing will become the norm, [...]”Dave Cullen13 September 2022
Jacob Dreizin“Uncle Sam is on track to offload just about all his surplus gear onto the Ukraine. He’s just getting warmed up. They are talking about self-propelled cannon and hundreds of M113 armored vehicles, not to mention 40,000 rounds for the cannon, counterbattery radar stations, helicopters, you name it. [...]
Sending more, larger, and heavier equipment to the Ukraine, won’t do anything, other than seal the total destruction of the Ukraine, and its transformation into a starving European Somalia with nuclear power plants. As I’ve written before, Russia will escalate by destroying the bridges over the Dniepr, preventing the equipment from reaching its destination, while also permanently destroying what’s left of the Ukraine’s economy, making the eastern half totally dependent on Russia for its subsistence.”
Jacob Dreizin17 April 2022
Ben Hodges“The Russians have zero, zero positive outcomes if they use a nuclear weapon. There's no benefit for them if they use it...The Army, the Air Force, all of our services are constantly training, preparing, maintaining a level of readiness to send the signal to the Kremlin that we are ready, that we are prepared....The apocalyptic sort of ending is not going to happen because even the Russians know that there's no positive outcome for them if they do that...The only benefit they get is from threatening to use it because they see that we are so concerned that they might do it; that we stop from doing things that Ukraine needs such as providing long-range weapons...After the British and the French provided long-range precision weapons to Ukraine, Russia did nothing. There was nothing they could do. And that's why I think it's just very unlikely.”Ben Hodges21 August 2023
Mélanie Joly“We’re able to see how much we’re isolating the Russian regime right now — because we need to do so economically, politically and diplomatically — and what are the impacts also on society, and how much we’re seeing potential regime change in Russia..The goal is definitely to do that, is to weaken Russia’s ability to launch very difficult attacks against Ukraine. We want also to make sure that Putin and his enablers are held to account.”Mélanie Joly10 March 2023
Roderich Kiesewetter“If Europe wants to complete the energy transition, it needs its own lithium deposits. The largest lithium deposits in Europe are located in the Donetsk-Lugansk region. (...) So we also have completely different goals in the background here. And that is why we need a united effort of citizens so that our policy has the backing to do more for Ukraine....In doing so, it (Ukraine) is waging a proxy war.”Roderich KiesewetterDecember 2023
Patrick Lancaster“I mean the people that were born there before 1956 were born in Russia so it just makes sense to them to go back and then once I was there for the referendum and then once that kind of fizzled off and started calming down once you know Russia was in, and you know you know it was a done deal for pretty much, then Donetsk started to develop so I ended up going to Donetsk here and staying showing the referendum here as well again.

It was a lot different than the west was making it out to see, you know, seeing the fact that there's no Ukrainian language that's spoken here.

There's you know the vast majority of the population is ethnically Russian and they all you know would like to consider this, you know this area part of Russia I mean they definitely do now at that point.”
Patrick Lancaster
Cyrus Janssen
2022
Patrick Lancaster“I mean I'm just I've been working here on this side of the contact line and the anti-Ukraine government territory so I've only been able to show what happened here, but what I've seen here with my own eyes is indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas year after year by Ukrainian forces. Indiscriminate and targeted in fact, just last month (..) two civilian electric plants targeted by Ukrainian forces. (...)

Now that the war is really hot attacks are coming in every hour, and I mean the only thing that's being shown in the west is the results of Russian attacks on Ukraine, but what the west isn't showing is every day here in Donetsk there is attacks from Ukraine controlled territory Ukraine attacking the civilian population here. In the last 12 days there has been 19 civilians killed.

I mean it's not a huge amount like across Ukraine right now but in the last 12 days in the Donetsk people's republic controlled territory there's been 19 civilians killed and I believe 27 injured and these are results of Ukrainian attacks on mostly civilian areas of course battle's been raging on the front line since this new development happened and even before, but so you know a lot of the shells are hitting civilian areas and I assume a lot are hitting military areas as well... Those aren't as free to report on as the other ones.”
Patrick Lancaster
Cyrus Janssen
2022
Anatol Lieven“since 2015 Ukrainian governments and parliaments have refused to take the essential first steps to its implementation....Over the past seven years, U.S. and E.U. sanctions against Russia have also not worked in the slightest to make Russia accept Ukrainian terms for settling the Donbas and Crimean disputes...There is, however, no chance whatsoever that such [Minsk II] solution can rest on the demand of the present Ukrainian government — in effect, to regain the Donbas unconditionally....However, to bring about a peace settlement, it is also necessary to address the factors that brought about the failure of the Minsk II agreement. Chief among these is the Ukrainians' refusal to guarantee permanent full autonomy for the Donbas region....[T]he United States endorsed the Minsk II agreement and has never officially disowned it, since 2015 it has in practice done nothing to help create an actual settlement based on its provisions. Above all, there has been no attempt whatsoever by any of the three U.S. administrations since 2015 to use America’s vast leverage with Ukraine to persuade governments in Kiev to change their approach to the Donbas in the ways necessary to make a settlement possible.”Anatol Lieven
Quincy Institute For Responsible Statecraft
January 2022
Richard Moore“With the tragedy and destruction unfolding so distressingly in Ukraine, we should remember the values and hard won freedoms that distinguish us from Putin, none more than LGBT+ rights. So let’s resume our series of tweets to mark #LGBTHM2022”Richard Moore25 February 2022
Elon Musk“If Putin could so easily humiliate the West, then he would accept the challenge [to fight me]. But he will not.”X
Elon Musk
2022
NATO“We had a moment in history, between 1988 and 1991, where we could have worked with Mikhail Gorbachev to make his vision of perestroika succeed. Instead, we allowed him to fail, without any real plan on how we would live with what emerged from the ruins of the Soviet Union. Save for a short period of time during the Second World War where we needed the Soviet Union to defeat Germany and Japan, we have been in a continual state of political conflict with the Soviet Union. Even after the Soviet Union collapsed, we viewed the Russian Federation more as a defeated enemy that we needed to keep down, than a friend in need of a helping hand up.”Scott Ritter2021
Vladimir Putin“Whoever would try to stop us and further create threats to our country, to our people, should know that Russia’s response will be immediate and lead you to such consequences that you have never faced in your history. We are ready for any outcome.”Vladimir Putin
ThePrint
21 February 2022
Russia/Encirclement“Unfortunately, it’s US “diplomacy” which brought the US, Russia, Ukraine, and NATO to the current standoff. As the Warsaw Pact disintegrated and the Soviet Union collapsed, US encouragement for those events included pledges that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization wouldn’t take advantage of the situation to expand eastward. Since then, NATO has inexorably pushed in that direction, nearly doubling the number of member states. Thanks, US “diplomacy.”

Things began coming to a head with the US-sponsored coup in Ukraine that replaced its “Russia-friendly” regime with a “US/Europe-friendly” regime in 2014, courtesy of Barack Obama. Thanks, US “diplomacy.”

Then in 2019, the US withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, which forbade the US to place missiles within surprise strike distance of Russia, and Russia to place similar missiles within surprise strike distance of NATO. The US followed up by placing exactly such missiles in Poland, courtesy of Donald Trump. Some “diplomacy.”... Then the US went into overdrive (courtesy of Trump and Biden) against the opening of a pipeline (Nord Stream 2) which would have supplied Russian natural gas to Germany. The pipeline would have been a force for peace insofar as Russia likes to sell natural gas (at a fraction of prices the US can offer), and Germans like to not freeze to death.”
Thomas Knapp2021
Russia/Encirclement“We have made it clear that Nato’s move to the east is unacceptable (...) The United States is standing with missiles on our doorstep. Is it an excessive requirement not to install shock systems at our house? How would the Americans react if missiles were placed at the border with Canada or Mexico”The Guardian
Vladimir Putin
2021
Kori Schake“And in addition, even in shrewdly strategic terms, for 5 percent of U.S. Defense spending last year and zero American military casualties, the Ukrainians are destroying the Russian army and that is absolutely in America's interests.”Kori Schake21 May 2023
Jaap de Hoop Scheffer“It is not likely. But he is unpredictable and consumed by resentment and rancour. So, you should not exclude the possibility that he'll be creating a problem between Kaliningrad and Belarus. That area is the gateway from Western Europe to the Baltic countries. If he closes that passage, it would be a reason for war for NATO.”Jaap de Hoop Scheffer
NOS
24 February 2022
Frank-Walter Steinmeier“There are tougher days ahead for us in Germany, too," [The sanctions imposed, he said, would inevitably bring them.] "We will have to be prepared to bear them if our solidarity is not just to be lip service, if it is to be taken seriously.”Frank-Walter Steinmeier27 March 2022
Jens Stoltenberg“Two World Wars and the Cold War has taught us that there is no real security in Europe without a strong transatlantic bond.

Standing together in NATO, Europe and America will continue to keep the peace and protect our democratic way of life. As we have done for more than 70 years.

NATO is a defensive Alliance. We are not threatening Russia or anyone else.

But we will take all necessary measures to protect and defend all Allies.

This is why in response to Russia’s pattern of aggressive actions, we have been strengthening our deterrence and defence across the Alliance.

To avoid any miscalculation or misunderstanding about our ironclad commitment to defend each other.

So if Kremlin’s aim is to have less NATO on Russia’s borders, it will only get more NATO.”
Jens Stoltenberg19 February 2022
Donald Trump“I mean, he’s taking over a country for $2 worth of sanctions. I’d say that’s pretty smart.”Donald Trump2022
Volodymyr Zelensky“I know Zelensky a little. I know his team. He’s addicted to glory and hates criticism, first and foremost. This isn’t necessarily bad for an actor, but absolutely unacceptable for a politician, let alone a president.

Presently, Zelensky isn’t making any decisions. The U.S. State Department is making them for him, with Jake Sullivan as his supervisor. In Ukraine, power is executed by the head of the President’s Office Andrei Yermak. And my sources say he’s ready to dump Zelensky.

Ukraine has always been fertile soil for corruption, and today, it’s in full bloom. A few weeks before the war, ex- Zelensky advisor Sergei Shefir was moving enormous sums of cash out of the country and transferring funds to offshore accounts.

Ex-Minister of Defense Reznikov transferred $1 billion to offshore accounts. But that is just a drop in the ocean. Recently, I released a video on “X” about some embezzlement cases known to the media. The total amount in these cases reaches $60 billion. That’s why people aren’t eager to go to the frontlines. They don’t want to die only to make Zelensky and his team even richer. Does the White House know this? Certainly. They’re covering up for each other.

For years, the West has been hooking Ukrainian elites. Corrupted officials are easier to control; it’s leverage. When the United States decides to dump Zelensky, you’ll see it immediately by the number of reports about his corruption in the global media.”
Volodymyr Zelensky
Diana Panchenko
12 October 2024

 

Known Participants

All 3 of the participants already have pages here:

ParticipantDescription
Belarus"Europe's last dictatorship" - Formerly part of the USSR. Outspoken opposition to the COVID-19 lockdown agenda.
RussiaThe largest nation state in the world
UkraineThe largest country entirely within Europe, a former part of the USSR

 

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References

  1. https://www.rt.com/russia/550529-ukraine-war-eight-years-zakharova/
  2. "US-NATO arming Ukraine for military offensive against Russia signals a massive and dangerous escalation"
  3. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/17/russia-issues-list-demands-tensions-europe-ukraine-nato
  4. General Sir Richard Shirreff exclusively tells GB News he is ‘worried’ about Russia's Ukraine stance.
  5. The Russian MOD released documents on Twitter which they said prove the point (of a planned Ukrainian invasion). The "fact checker" PolitiFact (link), drawing on information provided by StopFake (link) said that that these documents speak about something completely different. English speaking writers on The Saker pointed out that: "it is highly unlikely that the Russian army would publish a fake that can be easily refuted. Besides, Kiev’s plans are indirectly confirmed by many people." the same author also notes: "Russian troops easily broke through the Ukrainian defenses elsewhere, reaching the suburbs of the Ukrainian capital and encircling the country’s second largest city, Kharkov. The question arises why the Ukrainians concentrated a powerful force near the Donbass republics instead of immediately blocking all dangerous directions in order to force the Russians into fighting exhausting battles along the border?" (link). Other commentators on The Saker pointed out, that: "Claims of [Ukrainian] “invasion” have been circulating on and off for the past 8 years [in the Donbass region], and started sounding louder in April of 2021" (link)
  6. Inessa S (Feb 19, 2018): Ukrainian Colonel - “Burn Crimea and Donbass to the ground” saved at Archive.is
  7. https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Intel_Slava_-_assessment_of_the_Donbass_situation_end_2021
  8. Gonzalo Lira - Victoria Nuland, 27 March 2022 ~01:39:00
  9. http://archive.today/2022.04.06-021922/https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/1-russia-voices-alarm-over-131800654.html?guccounter=1
  10. https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2022/02/18/ukra-f18.html saved at Archive.org
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  13. https://uawire.org/zelensky-ukraine-may-reconsider-its-nuclear-status
  14. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine&oldid=1073884488
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  17. https://www.swissinfo.ch/ger/kmu-sorgenbarometer-ukraine-krieg-loest-pandemie-ab/47495446
  18. Mikhail Gorbachev, 12 August 2008 - "What happened on the night of Aug. 7 is beyond comprehension. The Georgian military attacked the South Ossetian capital of Tskhinvali with multiple rocket launchers designed to devastate large areas. Russia had to respond. To accuse it of aggression against "small, defenseless Georgia" is not just hypocritical but shows a lack of humanity." -- https://web.archive.org/web/20150904004353/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/11/AR2008081101372.html
  19. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTlETCGIKDI Middle Nation - Poland is Honduras
  20. https://www.dw.com/en/nato-why-russia-has-a-problem-with-its-eastward-expansion/a-60891681
  21. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Ukrainian_revolution_and_war
  22. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cr5-AIC_N5w
  23. https://web.archive.org/web/20210713133522mp_/http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/copy/66181 in Russian
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  25. https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-possible-invasion-ukraine
  26. the explanation starts about 10:15 into the video The first casualty of War is Truth (Live w/Scott Ritter), The Duran YT channel, Apr 4, 2022
  27. Vladimir Shamanov - retired Colonel General of the Russian Armed Forces, from May 2009 to October 2016 Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Airborne Troops, https://de.rt.com/europa/139630-luftlandetruppen-chef-ad-zum-verlauf-militaeroperation/ - automated translation: "In the interview, the general also acknowledged mistakes made by the military leadership. At the beginning of the operation, he said, the Russian army expected to be "greeted with flowers" in Ukraine. This "component" had already been overcome."
  28. https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/22/ukraine-weapons-military-aid-00019104
  29. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#Foreign_military_involvement
  30. https://time.com/6076035/erik-prince-ukraine-private-army/
  31. https://lieber.westpoint.edu/are-mercenaries-in-ukraine/
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  64. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/03/russia-to-expel-german-broadcaster-after-rt-banned-in-germany
  65. https://www.forces.net/ukraine/news/pm-suggests-putin-could-face-war-crimes-charges-over-ukraine
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  81. https://brandnewtube.com/watch/klaus-schwab-in-2017-quot-merkel-putin-trudeau-were-wef-young-global-leaders-quot_3QqktPo4RDCfzof.html
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  85. "Peace Now! Stop the War in Ukraine – Add Your Name to our Letter to Rishi Sunak"
  86. "Cyril Ramaphosa holds peace talks with President Putin"
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