Preventing Global Catastrophic Biological Risks

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Event.png Preventing Global Catastrophic Biological Risks(Pandemic/Preparation,  Civil unrest/Preparation,  mid-level deep event,  planning exercise) Rdf-entity.pngRdf-icon.png
DateFebruary 14, 2020 - February 16, 2020
LocationMunich Security Conference,  Munich,  Germany
ParticipantsBeth Cameron, Jaime Yassif, Jacob Jordan, Jacob Eckles, Bradley Dickerson, Jessica Dymond, Melissa Flagg, Dylan George, John Glass, Matt Hepburn, Robert Mikulak, Christopher Park, David Rakestraw, Mallory Stewart, Renee Wegrzyn, Gro Harlem Brundtland, Tang Bei, Smaïl Chergui, Richard Hatchett, Orin Levine, Ottilia Anna Maunganidze, Ernest J. Moniz, Robert Nass, Sam Nunn, James Revill, Joan Rohlfing, Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall, Elhadj As Sy, Adrian Thomas, Peter A. Carr, Richard Danzig, Amanda Dion-Schultz, Avril Haines, Hiski Haukkala, Norm Kahn, George Korch, Dimitri Kusnezov, Piers Millet, Jayne Morrow, Deborah Rosenblum, Carmen MacDougall, Mimi Hall, Rachel Staley Grant, Cassidy Nelson, Kevin O’Prey, Bradley Dickerson
PerpetratorsGeorgetown University Medical Center, Open Philanthropy Project, Nuclear Threat Initiative, Center for Global Development
DescriptionSimulation of a global influenza pandemic predicting an apocalyptic outcome. Held February 2020, with a who-is-who of pandemic planners. Held February 2020.

In February 2020, during the Munich Security Conference, the US think-tank Nuclear Threat Initiative paid for a scenario-based tabletop exercise with senior leaders from around the world "to identify gaps in global capabilities to prevent and respond to a high-consequence biological event."[1]

The February 2020 event included a daylong predecessor exercise in Washington DC in December 2019. Both exercises were sponsored and dominated by actors from the US biosecurity apparatus, who also set the agenda and wrote the report with recommendations.

Participants were asked to consider the scenario and candidly (under Chatham House rules of secrecy) discuss gaps in mechanisms, coordination, and information sharing to reduce biological risks associated with advances in technology and high-consequence biological events.

As the organizers point out "Although the event had been planned for months, the fictional disease in the scenario swept the globe in a way eerily similar to COVID-19 and foreshadowed the widespread impact and paralyzing knock-on effects that the world is now experiencing." Participants determined " leaders...must consider bold changes to the international biosecurity architecture".


Set in late summer 2020, the fictional scenario opene an unexplained influenza virus that is killing international travelers from Aplea, a fictional middle-income country with a burgeoning bioscience and biotechnology economy. As the exercise unfolds, research teams from two World Health Organization collaborating centers sequence the responsible strain and identify it as an engineered version of H2N2 influenza virus, which is related to a strain that circulated among humans several decades earlier. Despite an emerging international consensus that this is a laboratory-created virus, the intent and identity of its creators remain unknown.[1]


Known Participants

8 of the 45 of the participants already have pages here:

Gro Harlem BrundtlandDeep state/WHO connected Prime Minister/DG, concerned about "too much freedom of speech"
Beth CameronAmerican national security expert specializing in biosecurity, biodefense, and bioterrorism. Also participated in private pandemic exercises for Ted Turner's Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Avril Haines"The proverbial wolf in sheep’s clothing". Possible central figure in several major psy-ops, including Russiagate and COVID-19.
Richard HatchettEarly pusher (2001) for obligatory confinement of the whole population in case of biological emergency.
Matt HepburnLeader of Operation Warp Speed with conflict of interests
Ernest MonizUS deep state operative who took place in multiple WEF "pandemic exercises", US Secretary of Energy 2013-17
Sam NunnUSDSO? Chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, founded the Nuclear Threat Initiative, 2 Bilderbergers, participated in both Operation Dark Winter & A Spreading Plague
Adrian ThomasPharma executive who attended Event 201 Covid dry-run.
Many thanks to our Patrons who cover ~2/3 of our hosting bill. Please join them if you can.


  1. a b The February 2020 excersise included: Gro Harlem Brundtland,Tang Bei,Smaïl Chergui,Richard Hatchett, Orin Levine,Ottilia Anna Maunganidze,Ernest J. Moniz,Robert Nass,Sam Nunn,James Revill,Joan Rohlfing,Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall,Elhadj As Sy,Adrian Thomas;The December 2019 Washington excerise included Dr. Peter A. Carr,Dr. Richard Danzi,Dr. Amanda Dion-Schultz,Avril Haines,Dr. Hiski Haukkala,Dr. Norm Kahn,Dimitri Kusnezov,Piers Millet,Jayne Morrow,Joan Rohlfing,Deborah Rosenblum; other names include people who helped with the scenario setup or report